【全球热闻】沙特阿美认为石油市场今年剩余时间将保持稳定

据油价网2023年6月26日利雅得报道，沙特阿拉伯国家石油公司(沙特阿美/Saudi Aramco)首席执行官阿明·纳赛尔认为，全球石油市场基本面稳定，石油市场在今年剩余时间里可能保持稳定。

纳赛尔是在马来西亚国家石油公司组织的亚洲能源会议上发表上述讲话的。他在讲话中指出，亚洲两大国仍然是全球石油需求增长的主要推动力。

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路透社援引纳赛尔的讲话内容报道说：“尽管几个经合组织国家存在经济衰退风险，但发展中国家的经济，尤其是亚洲的经济，正在推动今年全球石油需求的健康增长，全球石油日需求增长将超过200万桶。”

今年早些时候，沙特阿美首席执行官警告称，石油市场供应紧张，可能会出现供应短缺。然而，自今年年初他发表上述言论以来，尽管供应短缺的危险持续存在，但对通胀和经济衰退的担忧共同压低了油价。

据路透社报道，纳赛尔还指出，尽管存在一定的经济逆风，但亚洲石化和运输行业对原油的需求依然强劲。

在谈到能源转型时，这位沙特阿美首席执行官称，在不到30年的时间里完全淘汰碳氢化合物的想法是“异想天开”，并指出风能和太阳能发电未能满足不断增长的全球能源需求。

纳赛尔还表示，一些被吹捧为石油和天然气替代品的低碳技术要昂贵得多，而原油的成本约为每桶75美元。

谈到需求，同时参加了亚洲能源会议的欧佩克秘书长预测，从今年到2045年，全球石油日需求量将增长23%，到2045年前将达到1.1亿桶。

他还表示，到2045年，石油将占全球能源供应的29%。与目前石油在全球能源供应中所占的30.9%的份额相比，这将是一个小幅下降。

李峻 译自 油价网

原文如下：

Aramco Chief Sees Healthy Oil Market This Year

Amin Nasser, the chief executive of Saudi Aramco, sees oil market fundamentals as stable and likely to remain so for the rest of the year.

Speaking at the Energy Asia conference organized by Malaysia’s Petronas, Nasser noted that the two countries in Asia remain the main drivers for global oil demand.

"Despite the recession risks in several OECD countries, the economies of developing countries – especially in Asia– are driving healthy oil demand growth of more than 2 million barrels per day this year," he said as quoted by Reuters.

Earlier this year, the Aramco chief executive warned the oil market is tight and shortage may be on the way. However, since the start of the year, when he made those comments, inflationary and recessionary fears have combined to push the price of oil down despite the continued danger of supply shortages.

Nasser also noted that the Asian petrochemicals and transport sectors were demonstrating robust demand for crude despite certain economic headwinds, per Reuters.

In comments on the energy transition, the Aramco chief called the idea of phasing out hydrocarbons completely in less than 30 years “fanciful”, noting the failure of wind and solar to meet rising global energy demand.

Nasser also suggested some of the low-carbon technologies touted as replacements for oil and gas were a lot more expensive. Green hydrogen, he said, the crude oil costs $75 per barrel of .

Speaking of demand, OPEC’s secretary-general, who also attended the Energy Asia conference, forecast global demand for oil would increase by 23% between this year and 2045, reaching 110 million barrels per day by that year.

In 2045, oil will account for 29% of global energy supply, Haitham al Ghais also said. This would be a minor decline from the current share of 30.9% of global energy supply that oil holds.

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